| | Risk reportRisk management
The nature of an insurance company is to take on risks in return
for premium payments. However, these risks arising from
the insurance business are only part of the risks which can arise
within an insurance company. In addition, to general technical
risks, there are also financial, operational and management
risks. The term external risks refers to those risks that cannot be
influenced by the insurance business.
In order to identify, measure, aggregate and control all risks, a
UNIQA risk management system was created which is in use in
all operating companies in Austria. This system is also used in
Germany, Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Italy and Hungary. The
remaining countries of the UNIQA Group will introduce this
system during the course of 2007.
The risk management process is centrally controlled and operated
by the respective actuary departments. These are responsible
for the documentation of all risks that could significantly
jeopardise the continued existence of the company or the insurance
business. They also report quarterly to the Management
Board regarding the risk situation of the company. Ad-hoc information
is also provided where necessary. Asset liability management
is performed annually in the life insurance segment,
and the analyses of stress tests are included in the report on a
quarterly basis.
Promoters, who can be described as responsible for an area, are
tasked with documenting all risks that concern their segment.
The actual assessment of the risks is performed by assessors.
The assessment is followed by a check by both the promoter
and risk management.
Amongst other aspects, the level of risk and probability of occurrence
are documented for each risk. Multiplying these two values
together gives the risk potential. Each scenario that corresponds
to the highest risk potential is used when assessing the risk.
The risk potential is also a figure that allows for comparing
risks. This guarantees that risks with a high probability of occurrence
and risks with a high level of risk are considered to be
major risks.
Management of actuarial and financial risks1. Actuarial risks
The risk of an insurance contract is the occurrence of the insured event. By definition the occurrence of this risk takes place by chance and is, therefore, unpredictable. Using the law of large numbers, the risk can be calculated for a sufficiently large insurance portfolio. The larger the portfolio consisting of similar insurance policies, the more accurately the result (loss) can be estimated. For this reason, insurance companies strive for growth.
2006 |
4,500,985 |
2005 |
4,354,341 |
2004 |
3,613,794 |
2003 |
3,016,185 |
2002 |
2,636,938 |
2001 |
2,636,777 |
The principle of insurance is built on the law of large numbers: only a few of those at risk will actually suffer a loss. For the individual, the occurrence of loss is uncertain; for the collective, however, it is largely determined. The loss-bearing and loss-free risks theoretically cancel each other out. The actuarial risk now exists in the danger that the actual claims for a certain period deviate from those expected. This risk can be divided into the chance risk, the change risk and the error risk.
The chance risk means that higher than expected losses can occur by pure chance. Amongst other things, the change risk means that unforeseen changes to the risk factors have an impact on the actual loss payments. The error risk comes about >from deviations arising through incorrect assessment of the risk factors.
1.1. Property insurance
The total customer perspective already introduced should be further strengthened within the UNIQA Group in the future. When implementing sales campaigns, actuarial calculations that include the associated risks are utilised.
For reasons of turnover, the discounting capacity of Sales is generally entirely exhausted. A risk could also arise through further relocation of discounting competence to Sales. Constant analyses of the use of discounts and the exhausting of the discount capacity are performed to counteract this risk. The total discounting capacity is determined centrally by using various key figures and is then divided amongst the individual regional offices. Because revenue components are also built into the various compensation systems, any use of discounts that reduces revenue would have a direct impact on income. There are also discount limits that are based on the risk and customer criteria.
Reinsurance policies reduce the retained earnings of the initial insurer and lead to a smoothing of results. On the one hand, they can lead to a reduction of the claim ratio in retained earnings in the event of extraordinary events; on the other, a good level of claims can worsen the claim ratio in retained earnings. The aim of an optimal reinsurance strategy is to find a structure that takes both of these points into consideration.
2006 |
64.3 |
2005 |
66.7 |
2004 |
64.1 |
2003 |
68.9 |
2002 |
77.3 |
2001 |
73.7 |
With regard to unexpected claims, risk management makes assessments on elemental, major and cumulative losses in the areas of storms, floods and earthquakes that are based on accepted scenarios. Reinsurance policies considerably reduce the levels of possible losses. Due to the possibility of the failure of reinsurers, the reinsurance structure of the UNIQA Group is described below.
For the exact determination of the reserve risk and premium risk, an internal model is implemented that indicates the risk based on the fundamental portfolio structure, the current reinsurance programme and future developments. Detailed information regarding the future development of mass, major and catastrophic damages, calculated on the basis of historic data, are used as the basis for this. This makes it possible to identify developments at an early point and take direct measures (structuring of premiums and scopes of coverage, adaptation of reinsurance structures) to minimise the risk and control financial results.
Excursus: reinsurance
The total obligatory reinsurance requirement of operating UNIQA companies is covered with reinsurance policies at UNIQA Versicherungen AG or UNIQA Re. UNIQA Versicherungen AG in Vienna is the sole reinsurer of Austrian UNIQA companies, while UNIQA Re in Zurich acts as sole risk bearer for international UNIQA companies.
Between 50% and 60% of the entire portfolio are covered by these reinsurance policies. Ratio figures, which, depending upon the volatility of the respective insurance branch, reach between 25% and 90%, are supplemented with excess loss policies. Two cumulative excess loss policies also exist which should cover major losses across the insurance branch (umbrella) incurred through natural disasters (earthquakes, flooding, high water, storm, etc.)
In 2004, we also created our own reinsurance line on a nonproportional basis for the large industrial business of all Group companies. This includes major risks in various branches of industrial insurance according to precise earnings limits and includes general liability insurance.
UNIQA Insurer AG and UNIQA Re pool the business acquired by the Group companies according to insurance branches and pass gross excess loss policies, which are supplemented by net ratios, on to international reinsurers as a bouquet. The reinsurance structure, the conditions, the shares and all reinsurance partners in this bouquet are identical for both companies. The reinsurance policy is fully placed.
The effect of the reinsurance programme on the claims ratio in retained earnings can be seen in the following table:
2006 |
66.0 |
2005 |
68.0 |
2004 |
65.6 |
2003 |
69.8 |
2002 |
76.0 |
2001 |
73.0 |
The table below shows the reinsurance requirements for outstanding claims and incurred but not reported claims arranged according to ratings. This concerns the reinsurance business ceded by domestic subsidiaries and UNIQA Re from the property insurance lines to companies outside the Group. The cessions of international subsidiaries and the IWD portion of co-insurance are not included.
AAA |
4,813 |
AA |
110,857 |
A |
98,323 |
BBB* |
13,609 |
Not rated |
3,705 |
The creditworthiness of reinsurers is also very important, not least because of the long duration of claim settlement in the area of general liability insurance and motor vehicle liability insurance.
The problem of duration in reinsurance (initial insurance policies are often multi-year, while reinsurance policies are taken out for only one year) is primarily held in check by the reinsurance team, which controls this risk. Systematic analyses, supported by actuarial methods, are used to assess the appropriateness of the actuarial provisions.
In addition to the elemental lines, the commercial property business also includes liability and technical insurance. The UNIQA Group divides this into three areas:
- Standardised bundled policies for small commercial businesses.
- Customised policies for medium-sized companies; however, the scope of coverage and exposure of these policies are such that they can be accepted decentrally in the Austrian regions and international subsidiaries.
- Large policies, or policies with a complicated scope of coverage, are decided on and arranged centrally both in Austria and for the international subsidiaries. These policies are selected according to quantitative criteria (e.g. €2 million insured sum in property insurance) as well as by content-based, qualitative criteria, such as asset damage coverage in the liability insurance.
Since 2004, the top risks (e.g. over €10.9 million probable maximum loss in property insurance) have been covered by our own, non-proportional reinsurance policy outside of the obligatory reinsurance. A team of experts at the International Desk in Vienna decides on the contribution to this policy for the entire Group.
In the property segment, major risks are evaluated for risk prior to acceptance and subsequently at regular intervals, and documented in survey reports. In the liability insurance line, the portfolio for high-level risks is subject to permanent monitoring (e.g. planning risks and liability insurance in the medical segment).
The industry holdings of the international companies are regularly analysed for their exposure and composition (risk mix), and survey reports on the exposed risks are prepared.
1.2. Life insurance
The risk of an individual insurance contract lies in the occurrence of the insured event. The occurrence is considered random and, therefore, unpredictable. The insurance company takes on this risk for a corresponding premium. When calculating the premium, the actuary refers to the following carefully selected bases of calculation:
- Interest: The actuarial interest is set so low that it can be produced with certainty in each year.
- Mortality: The probabilities of dying are deliberately and carefully calculated for each type of insurance.
- Costs: These are calculated in such a way that the costs incurred by the policy can be permanently covered by the premium.
Careful selection of the bases of calculation gives rise to scheduled profits, an appropriate amount of which is credited to the policyholders as part of profit sharing in accordance with the profit plan.
The calculation of the premium is also based on the acceptance of a large, homogenous inventory of independent risks, so that the randomness inherent in an individual insurance policy is balanced out by the law of large numbers.
The following risks exist for a life insurance company:
- The bases of calculation prove to be insufficient despite careful selection.
- Random fluctuations prove disadvantageous for the insurer.
- The policyholder exercises certain implicit options to his advantage.
The risks of the insurer can be divided into actuarial and financial risks.
Capital and risk insurance
UNIQAs portfolio consists primarily of long-term insurance policies. Short-term assurances payable at death play a minor role.
In the following table, the number of insurance policies is divided by rate groups and insured sums, and takes into consideration the companies of UNIQA Personenversicherung AG, Raiffeisen Versicherung AG, Salzburger Landes-Versicherung and CALL DIRECT Versicherung AG.
€0 to €20,000 |
1,272,818 |
86,818 |
14,260 |
174,619 |
€20,000 to €40,000 |
282,672 |
40,181 |
229 |
37,284 |
€40,000 to €100,000 |
111,480 |
22,549 |
50 |
123,879 |
€100,000 to €200,000 |
12,486 |
3,740 |
1 |
61,922 |
> €200,000 |
2,836 |
1,169 |
0 |
8,545 |
Mortality Insurance policies with an assurance character implicitly include a safety surcharge on the risk premium, in that the premium calculation is based on an accounting table (the Austrian Mortality Table for 1990/92 or for 2000/02).
Using risk selection (health examinations) means that the mortality probabilities of the portfolio are consistently smaller than those of the overall population; in addition, the advancement of mortality means that the real mortality probabilities are consistently smaller than the values shown in the accounting table.
Homogeneity and independence of insurance risks An insurance company takes great pains to compose a portfolio of the most homogenous, independent risks possible, in accordance with the classic, deterministic approach to calculating premiums. Because this is virtually impossible in practice, a considerable risk arises for the insurer due to random fluctuations, in particular, from the outbreak of epidemic illnesses (AIDS, SARS, bird flu, etc.), as not only could the calculated mortality probabilities prove to be too low, but the independence of the risks can also no longer be assumed.
Cumulative risks contained in the portfolio can be reduced by using reinsurance contracts. As the first reinsurer, UNIQA Versicherungen AG operates with a retained risk of €200,000 per insured life; the excesses are mostly reinsured with Swiss Re, Münchener Rück and Gen Re. A catastrophic excess (CAT-XL) contract is also held with Swiss Re, although it excludes losses resulting from epidemics.
Antiselection The portfolios of Raiffeisen Versicherung AG and UNIQA Personenversicherung AG contain large inventories of risk insurance policies with a premium adjustment clause. This allows the insurer to raise premiums in the event of a (less probable) worsening of the mortality profile. However, this presents the danger of possible antiselection behaviour: policies for good risks tend to be terminated while worse ones remain in the portfolio.
Retirement annuities
Mortality The reduction of mortality probabilities represents a large uncertainty for retirement annuities. The advancement of mortality as a result of medical progress and changed lifestyles is virtually impossible to extrapolate.
Attempts to predict this effect were made when producing the generation tables; however, such tables exist only for the Austrian population. This data cannot be applied to other countries. Moreover, the past shows that the effect of these changes was seriously underestimated, so that subsequent reservations had to be made for retirement annuity contracts. For retirement annuity contracts in the qualifying period, a lump sum provision was formed; for liquid pensions, a subsequent reservation was made corresponding to the altered conditions of the long lifetime risk.
Antiselection The right to choose annuity pensions for deferred retirement annuities also results in antiselection. Only those policyholders that feel very healthy opt for annuity payment, while all others choose partial or full capital payment; in this way, the retirement portfolio tends to consist mostly of healthier people, i.e. worse risks, overall, than the population average.
This phenomenon is countered by corresponding modifications to the retirement mortality tables. A further possibility exists in the requirement that the intention to exercise the right to choose annuity payments must be announced no later than one year in advance of the expiration.
Financial risks
The actuarial interest that may be used in the calculation for writing new business is based on the maximum interest rate ordinance, and currently amounts to 1.75% per annum (Lebensaktie, Zukunftsplan) or 2.25% per annum (other life insurance policies). However, the portfolio also contains older contracts with actuarial interest of up to 4.0% per annum, while the average rate for the portfolio is 2.92 %.
As these interest rates are guaranteed by the insurance company, the financial risk lies in not being able to generate these returns. As classic life insurance predominantly invests in interest bearing titles (loans, credits, etc.), the unpredictability of long-term interest rate trends is the most significant financial risk for a life insurance company. The interest risk weighs especially heavily on retirement annuities, as these concern extremely long-term policies.
The interest risk functions in the following ways:
Investment and reinvestment risk Premiums that are paid in the future must be invested at an interest rate guaranteed at the time the policy is taken out; however, it is entirely possible that no corresponding securities are available at the time the premium is paid. In the same way, future income must be reinvested at the actuarial interest rate.
Ratio of assets to liabilities For practical reasons, the goal of duration matching cannot be fully achieved on the assets and liability side. The duration of assets is between five and six years, while that of liabilities is considerably larger. This creates a duration gap that reduces the ratio of assets to liabilities in the event of falling interest rates.
Value of implicit options Life insurance policies contain implicit options that can be exercised by the policyholder. While the possibilities of partial or full buy-back, or the partial or full release of premiums, in fact, represent financing options; these options are not necessarily exercised as a consequence of correct, financially rational decisions. However, in the case of a mass buy-back (e.g. due to an economic crisis), this represents a considerable risk to the insurance company.
The question of whether a capital or annuity option should be exercised is, in addition to subjective motives of the policyholder, also characterised by financially rational considerations; depending on the final interest level, a policyholder will opt for the capital or the annuity, so that these options represent a considerable (cash) value for the policyholder, and therefore, a corresponding risk for the insurer.
The guarantee of an annuitising factor represents another financial risk. Here, the insurance company guarantees to annuitise a sum unknown in advance (namely the value of the fund shares at maturity) in accordance with an interest rate and a mortality table set at the time the policy is taken out (the latter risk is not only financial).
Besides these technical and financial risks, the cost risk must also be mentioned. For the term of the policy, the insurer guarantees only to withdraw the calculated costs. The business risk here is that the cost premiums are insufficient (e.g. due cost increases resulting from inflation).
1.3. Health insurance
Health insurance is a type of insurance that takes biometric risks into account within its calculations and which must be operated according to the type of life insurance in Austria. Terminations by the insurer are not possible except in the case of obligation violations by the insured. Premiums must therefore be calculated in such a way that they are sufficient to cover the insurance benefits that generally increase with age, assuming probabilities that remain constant. The probabilities and cost structures can change frequently over time. For this reason, it is possible to adjust the premiums for health insurance as necessary to the changed bases of calculation.
When taking on the risks, the existing risk of the persons is also evaluated. If it is established that an illness already exists for which the cost risk is expected to be higher than for the calculated portfolio, then either this illness is excluded from the policy, an adequate risk surcharge is demanded or the risk is not underwritten.
In health insurance, assurance coverage (ageing provision) is built up through calculation according to the type of life insurance and reduced again in later years because this is used to finance an ever larger part of the benefits that increase with age.
The actuarial interest rate for this actuarial provision is a prudent 3%, so that the investment risk of health insurance in Austria is relatively low. If it were expected that 3% could no longer be obtained in future, this fact would have to be taken into account for future benefits and included in the premium adjustment.
The operational risks are extensively determined by the IT architecture and by errors that can arise from the business processes (policy formulation, risk assessment and benefit calculation). These risks should be kept to a minimum by using risk management.
The legal risks arise primarily from the effects that changes to legislation have on the existing private health insurance business model. This includes, in particular, changes to the legal framework that make it harder or impossible to adapt to changed circumstances or sharply reduce the income opportunities. Developments in this area will be observed by the insurance association, and, where necessary, an attempt will be made to react to negative developments from the perspective of the private health insurer.
2. Financial risks
For numerous insurance products, a calculatory interest rate is taken into consideration for the investment period between expected deposit and expected payout. The risk, therefore, lies in a deviation between the expected or calculated interest and the return on capital actually achieved on the capital market. The main components of these capital market risks are:
- Interest rate change risk: possible losses caused by a change in the level and term-based structure of interest rates.
- The share risk: possible losses due to price performance on the stock markets caused by macroeconomic and companyrelated changes.
- The credit risk: possible losses caused by the inability to pay or the worsening creditworthiness of debtors or contractual partners.
- The currency risk: possible losses caused by changes in exchange rates.
- The liquidity risk: the danger of not having sufficient liquid funds on the date of scheduled payout.
The financial risks have different weightings and various degrees of seriousness, depending on the investment structure. However, the effects of the financial risks on the value of the investments also influence the level of technical liabilities to some extent.
There is, therefore, a partial dependence between the growth of assets and debts from insurance policies. UNIQA monitors the income expectations and risks of assets and liabilities arising >from insurance policies as part of an Asset-Liability Management (ALM) process. The aim is to achieve a return on capital that is sustainably higher than the updating of the technical liabilities while retaining the greatest possible security. Here, assets and debts are allocated to different accounting groups. The following table shows the most important accounting groups that arise >from the different product categories.
Long-term life insurance policies with guaranteed interest and profit sharing |
13,943,506 |
12,988,283 |
Long-term unit-linked and index-linked life insurance policies |
1,952,897 |
1,492,241 |
Long-term health insurance policies |
2,083,161 |
2,042,431 |
Short-term property and casualty insurance policies |
3,438,782 |
3,036,411 |
Total |
21,418,346 |
19,559,365 |
Long-term life insurance policies with guaranteed interest and profit sharing |
13,713,127 |
12,958,338 |
Long-term unit-linked and index-linked life insurance policies |
1,911,516 |
1,457,692 |
Long-term health insurance policies |
2,224,055 |
2,085,526 |
Short-term property and casualty insurance policies |
1,918,533 |
1,798,359 |
Total |
19,767,231 |
18,299,915 |
2.1. Interest rate change risk
Due to the investment structure and the high proportion of interest bearing titles, the interest rate risk forms a very important component of the financial risks. The following table shows the interest-bearing securities and the average interest coupons arranged by the most important investment categories and their average coupon interest rate on the reporting date.
2006 |
2005 |
2006 |
2005 |
2006 |
2005 |
Fixed interest securities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
High-grade loans |
4.05 |
4.31 |
4.95 |
4.39 |
5.06 |
4.90 |
Bank/company loans |
4.75 |
4.55 |
7.50 |
5.76 |
3.97 |
4.04 |
Emerging markets loans |
7.61 |
6.86 |
7.82 |
7.98 |
8.17 |
7.02 |
High-yield loans |
6.30 |
6.50 |
8.07 |
8.10 |
6.51 |
8.59 |
Other investments |
4.08 |
3.80 |
|
|
3.19 |
3.19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed interest liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subordinated liabilities |
5.34 |
5.49 |
|
|
|
|
Guaranteed interest life insurance |
2.92 |
3.00 |
|
|
|
|
Debenture bonds |
4.00 |
4.00 |
|
|
|
|
Long-term policies and life insurance policies with guaranteed interest and profit sharing Insurance policies with guaranteed interested and additional profit sharing contain the risk that the guaranteed interest rate will not be achieved over a sustained period of time. Capital income produced over and above the guaranteed interest rate will be shared between the policyholder and the insurance company, with the policyholder receiving an appropriate share of the profit. The following table shows the comparison of assets and debts for such insurance policies.
Annuities |
10,213,018 |
9,226,366 |
Shares |
1,164,251 |
1,289,589 |
Alternatives |
810,089 |
747,333 |
Holdings |
82,711 |
80,807 |
Loans |
302,187 |
459,568 |
Real estate |
642,796 |
418,435 |
Liquidity |
635,751 |
682,481 |
Deposits receivable |
92,702 |
83,704 |
Total |
13,943,506 |
12,988,283 |
Difference between book value and market value of land and buildings |
163,867 |
144,589 |
|
|
|
Provisions and liabilities from long-term life insurance policies with guaranteed interest and profit sharing |
31 Dec. 2006 € 000
|
31 Dec. 2005 € 000 |
Actuarial provision |
12,541,017 |
11,710,531 |
Provision for profit-unrelated premium refunds |
13 |
0 |
Provision for profit-related premium refunds and profit sharing |
687,165 |
798,463 |
Other technical provisions |
15,239 |
17,383 |
Provision for outstanding claims |
90,982 |
80,914 |
Deposits payable |
378,712 |
351,046 |
Total |
13,713,127 |
12,958,338 |
The following table shows the structure of the remaining terms of interest-bearing securities and loans.
<= year |
688,828 |
295,986 |
> 1 year to <= years |
1,546,677 |
1,137,819 |
> 3 years bis <= years |
1,400,020 |
1,415,906 |
> 5 years bis <= years |
1,923,959 |
2,596,612 |
> 7 years bis <= years |
1,786,409 |
1,768,978 |
> 10 years bis <= years |
1,392,811 |
1,179,110 |
> 15 years |
1,774,369 |
1,291,522 |
Total |
10,513,073 |
9,685,934 |
The capital-weighted average remaining term of technical liabilities is around 8.5 years (2005: 8.4 years).
Long-term unit-linked and index-linked life insurance policies In the segment of unit- and index-linked life insurance, the interest income and all fluctuations in value of the dedicated investments are reflected in the technical provisions. There is, therefore, no financial risk from the point of view of the insurer. The following table shows the investment structure of financial investments that are used to cover the technical provisions arising >from unit-linked and index-linked life insurance policies.
Share-based funds |
672,620 |
493,872 |
Bond funds |
1,236,337 |
959,076 |
Liquidity |
43,939 |
38,916 |
Other investments |
1 |
377 |
Total |
1,952,897 |
1,492,241 |
Long-term health insurance policies The actuarial interest rate for the actuarial provision in health insurance lines, which is selected depending on the type of life insurance, is 3%. However, this interest rate is not guaranteed and can, upon presentation of proof to the Insurance Supervisory Authority, be reduced to a lower capital income that may be expected. The following table shows the investment structure available to cover insurance liabilities.
Annuities |
1,154,135 |
1,017,857 |
Shares |
133,201 |
186,545 |
Alternatives |
96,335 |
66,203 |
Holdings |
27,476 |
36,450 |
Loans |
303,746 |
354,320 |
Real estate |
195,770 |
203,327 |
Liquidity |
172,499 |
177,728 |
Total |
2,083,161 |
2,042,431 |
Difference between book value and market value of land and buildings |
231,861 |
228,118 |
|
|
|
Provisions and liabilities from long-term health insurance policies |
31 Dec. 2006 € 000
|
31 Dec. 2005 € 000 |
Actuarial provision |
1,972,628 |
1,839,393 |
Provision for profit-unrelated premium refunds |
20,793 |
18,546 |
Provision for profit-related premium refunds or profit sharing |
57,191 |
56,612 |
Other technical provisions |
5,916 |
1,070 |
Provision for unearned premiums |
14,959 |
13,918 |
Provision for outstanding claims |
150,725 |
154,010 |
Deposits payable |
1,842 |
1,976 |
Total |
2,224,055 |
2,085,526 |
Property and casualty insurance policies Most property and casualty insurance policies are short-term. Due to the short investment term, there is naturally a lower risk arising from financial risks. The technical provisions are not discounted, so that no interest is calculated for the short-term investment. The average terms of interest-bearing securities and loans invested to cover technical provisions is shown in the following table.
<= year |
203,409 |
248,346 |
> 1 year to <= years |
261,545 |
233,004 |
> 3 years bis <= years |
304,229 |
263,930 |
> 5 years bis <= years |
509,274 |
262,948 |
> 7 years bis <= years |
471,467 |
394,218 |
> 10 years bis <= years |
163,883 |
335,564 |
> 15 years |
163,397 |
132,542 |
Total |
2,077,205 |
1,870,551 |
The investment structure in the property and casualty insurance is as follows.
Annuities |
1,426,894 |
1,511,366 |
Shares |
166,185 |
156,721 |
Alternatives |
80,184 |
36,955 |
Holdings |
624,072 |
364,501 |
Loans |
428,111 |
359,187 |
Real estate |
441,872 |
457,345 |
Liquidity |
258,489 |
136,414 |
Deposits receivable |
12,975 |
13,922 |
Total |
3,438,782 |
3,036,411 |
Difference between book value and market value of land and buildings |
150,996 |
143,320 |
|
|
|
Provisions and liabilities from short-term property and casualty insurance policies |
31 Dec. 2006 € 000
|
31 Dec. 2005 € 000 |
Provision for unearned premiums |
343,997 |
308,686 |
Actuarial provision |
44,550 |
50,231 |
Provision for outstanding claims |
1,458,607 |
1,370,935 |
Provision for profit-unrelated premium refunds |
26,907 |
23,220 |
Provision for profit-related premium refunds or profit sharing |
8,191 |
8,443 |
Other technical provisions |
19,651 |
19,350 |
Deposits payable |
16,630 |
17,493 |
Total |
1,918,533 |
1,798,359 |
The average policy term in property and casualty insurance is between three and five years.
2.2. Share risk
When investing in stock markets, the risk is diversified by using various management styles (total-return approach, benchmarkoriented approach, value growth approach and industry- and region-specific and fundamental title selection). For the purpose of securing the investment, the effective investment ratio is controlled through the use of derivate financial instruments. The following table shows the investment structure of the share portfolios by asset classes:
Shares in Europe |
649,588 |
781,476 |
Shares in America |
85,456 |
113,936 |
Shares in Asia |
128,591 |
193,380 |
Shares international1) |
1,401 |
69,582 |
Shares in emerging markets |
142,316 |
195,232 |
Shares total return2) |
401,580 |
263,194 |
Other shares |
56,200 |
16,057 |
Total |
1,465,133 |
1,632,855 |
2.3. Credit risk
When investing in securities, we invest in debt securities of varying quality, taking into consideration the yield prospects and risks. The following table shows the quality structure of fixedinterest investments.
AAA |
3,603,331 |
3,441,215 |
AA |
3,603,847 |
2,896,111 |
A |
3,110,333 |
2,438,287 |
BBB |
1,029,342 |
906,437 |
BB |
1,082,315 |
1,095,305 |
B |
381,519 |
94,578 |
CCC |
51,308 |
76,352 |
Not rated |
150,871 |
807,304 |
Total |
13,012,867 |
11,755,589 |
2.4. Currency risk
The UNIQA Group invests in securities in a wide range of currencies. Although the insurance business is operated in different countries, the foreign currency risks of the investments do not always correspond to the currency risks of the technical provisions and liabilities. The most significant currency risk is in USD. The following table shows a breakdown of assets and debts by currency.
The fair value of securities investments in USD amounted to €2.532 million as at 31 December 2006. The exchange rate risk was reduced using derivative financial instruments to €101 million, while the safeguard ratio was 96.0%. The safeguard was maintained in a range of between 66% and 98% during the financial year.
Assets |
|
|
|
|
Investments |
19,622,362 |
101,067 |
1,694,917 |
21,418,346 |
Other tangible assets |
100,264 |
|
10,849 |
111,113 |
Intangible assets |
1,097,655 |
|
66,006 |
1,163,661 |
Share of reinsurance in the technical provisions |
953,174 |
|
93,353 |
1,046,527 |
Other assets |
733,552 |
|
113,931 |
847,483 |
Total assets |
22,507,007 |
101,067 |
1,979,056 |
24,587,131 |
|
|
|
|
|
Provisions and liabilities |
|
|
|
|
Subordinated liabilities |
475,000 |
|
|
475,000 |
Technical provisions |
19,176,359 |
|
934,634 |
20,110,993 |
Other provisions |
708,052 |
|
14,267 |
722,319 |
Liabilities |
1,831,926 |
|
117,108 |
1,949,035 |
Total liabilities |
22,191,337 |
|
1,066,009 |
23,257,347 |
Assets |
|
|
|
|
Investments |
17,637,935 |
431,797 |
1,489,633 |
19,559,365 |
Other tangible assets |
126,285 |
|
9,014 |
135,299 |
Intangible assets |
1,028,736 |
|
51,008 |
1,079,744 |
Share of reinsurance in the technical provisions |
893,737 |
|
99,637 |
993,374 |
Other assets |
718,912 |
|
81,698 |
800,610 |
Total assets |
20,405,605 |
431,797 |
1,730,990 |
22,568,392 |
|
|
|
|
|
Provisions and liabilities |
|
|
|
|
Subordinated liabilities |
325,000 |
|
|
325,000 |
Technical provisions |
17,939,377 |
|
727,644 |
18,667,021 |
Other provisions |
691,091 |
|
7,866 |
698,957 |
Liabilities |
1,641,124 |
|
102,615 |
1,743,739 |
Total liabilities |
20,596,592 |
|
838,125 |
21,434,718 |
2.5. Liquidity risk
The UNIQA Group must satisfy its payment obligations on a daily basis. For this reason, a precise liquidity schedule for the immediately following months is used, and a minimum liquidity holding is defined by the Management Board and is available as a cash reserve on a daily basis. Additional underwriting obligations exist for private equity investments in the amount of €202.0 million. Obligations of €90.0 million result from multitranche loans.
2.6. Sensitivities
The risk management for investments is done in a structured investment process, in which the various market risks are controlled at the levels of the selection of a strategic asset allocation, the tactical weighting of the individual asset classes depending on market opinion and in the form of timing and selection decisions. In particular, stress tests and sensitivity analyses are used as key figures for measuring, observing and actively controlling the risk.
The table below shows the most important market risks in the form of key sensitivity figures; these are details available on the reporting date and, therefore, represent rough figures for future losses of fair value. The key figures are calculated theoretically on the basis of actuarial principles and do not take into consideration any diversification effects between the individual market risks or counter-controlled measures taken in the various market scenarios.
in € 000 |
+100 base points |
100 base points |
+100 base points |
100 base points |
High grade loans |
244,381 |
244,381 |
232,091 |
232,091 |
Bank/company loans |
159,067 |
159,067 |
150,101 |
150,101 |
Emerging markets loans |
41,857 |
41,857 |
13,116 |
13,116 |
High-yield loans |
2,027 |
2,027 |
1,728 |
1,728 |
Total |
447,332 |
447,332 |
397,037 |
397,037 |
in € 000 |
+10 % |
10 % |
+10 % |
10 % |
Shares in Europe |
60,895 |
60,895 |
78,265 |
78,265 |
Shares in America |
8,509 |
8,509 |
11,391 |
11,391 |
Shares in Asia |
12,468 |
12,468 |
19,450 |
19,450 |
International shares |
27 |
27 |
5,855 |
5,855 |
Shares in emerging markets |
13,875 |
13,875 |
19,536 |
19,536 |
Shares total return |
39,967 |
39,967 |
26,319 |
26,319 |
Derivative financial instruments and other shares |
18,851 |
34,151 |
4,849 |
4,849 |
Total |
116,890 |
101,590 |
155,968 |
155,968 |
in € 000 |
+10 % |
10 % |
+10 % |
10 % |
EUR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
USD |
9,569 |
9,569 |
43,180 |
43,180 |
Other |
141,597 |
141,597 |
144,333 |
144,333 |
Total |
151,166 |
151,166 |
187,512 |
187,512 |
in € 000 |
Change to spread |
+ |
|
+ |
|
AAA |
0 base points |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
AA |
25 base points |
41,493 |
41,493 |
42,490 |
42,490 |
A |
50 base points |
64,780 |
64,780 |
63,536 |
63,536 |
BBB |
75 base points |
65,987 |
65,987 |
69,130 |
69,130 |
BB |
100 base points |
67,275 |
67,275 |
53,275 |
53,275 |
B |
125 base points |
21,536 |
21,536 |
7,017 |
7,017 |
CCC |
150 base points |
5,156 |
5,156 |
2,613 |
2,613 |
Not rated |
100 base points |
7,222 |
7,222 |
2,183 |
2,183 |
Total |
|
273,448 |
273,448 |
240,244 |
240,244 |
Value at risk
The overall market risk of the investment portfolio is determined on the basis of the value-at-risk approach. The key figure is calculated for a confidence interval of 95% and a holding term of one year. The basic data is in the form of historical figures from the last calendar year and a balancing of the individual values (decay factor of 1).
The following table shows the key value at risk figures for the last financial year as reporting date values, annual average and maxima/minima for the year.
31 Dec. 2006 |
514,686 |
194,216 |
61,579 |
432,430 |
173,539 |
31 Dec. 2005 |
746,000 |
131,000 |
102,000 |
741,000 |
229,000 |
Lowest |
480,245 |
194,216 |
59,086 |
392,192 |
173,539 |
Average |
523,467 |
221,224 |
64,737 |
439,755 |
202,249 |
Highest |
594,831 |
248,796 |
72,350 |
528,187 |
248,406 |
| | |